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CTPNV:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMCTP N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

€15.78

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CTP N.V. is trading at the identified support of €15.78, well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of ~€18.9, and the RSI of 1.94 signals a deeply oversold condition that could precede a short‑term rebound. Technical indicators are mixed – while the MACD remains bearish, the price’s proximity to support and the extreme RSI suggest a potential bounce, especially if buying pressure returns.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears undervalued with a P/E of 6.2 versus an industry average of 32.5 and a P/B below 1, complemented by a solid dividend yield of 3.93% and a modest payout ratio of 24%. Recent news highlights a 14.1% YoY rise in net rental income and 4.5% like‑for‑like rent growth, reinforcing the company’s strong cash‑generating assets, yet the 2025 earnings miss and guidance for 2026 EPS of €1.01‑€1.03 indicate earnings pressure ahead. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >100%) which tempers the upside, but the company’s high operating margins and sustainable dividend provide a cushion for longer‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price at technical support level
  • RSI indicating extreme oversold conditions
  • Potential short‑term bounce from buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong rental income and rent growth
  • Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
  • Valuation gap relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained dividend and cash flow generation
  • Exposure to growth markets in Central and Eastern Europe
  • High leverage requiring deleveraging over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin111.24%
P/E Ratio6.2
ROE13.68%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity109.74
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow€382.7M
Free Cash Flow€222.1M
Industry P/E32.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI1.9
Support€15.78
Resistance€19.27
MA 20€18.93
MA 50€18.89
MA 200€18.29
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility54.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.