CTPNV:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMCTP N.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
€15.78
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CTP N.V. is trading at the identified support of €15.78, well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of ~€18.9, and the RSI of 1.94 signals a deeply oversold condition that could precede a short‑term rebound. Technical indicators are mixed – while the MACD remains bearish, the price’s proximity to support and the extreme RSI suggest a potential bounce, especially if buying pressure returns.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears undervalued with a P/E of 6.2 versus an industry average of 32.5 and a P/B below 1, complemented by a solid dividend yield of 3.93% and a modest payout ratio of 24%. Recent news highlights a 14.1% YoY rise in net rental income and 4.5% like‑for‑like rent growth, reinforcing the company’s strong cash‑generating assets, yet the 2025 earnings miss and guidance for 2026 EPS of €1.01‑€1.03 indicate earnings pressure ahead. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >100%) which tempers the upside, but the company’s high operating margins and sustainable dividend provide a cushion for longer‑term investors.
On the fundamentals side, the stock appears undervalued with a P/E of 6.2 versus an industry average of 32.5 and a P/B below 1, complemented by a solid dividend yield of 3.93% and a modest payout ratio of 24%. Recent news highlights a 14.1% YoY rise in net rental income and 4.5% like‑for‑like rent growth, reinforcing the company’s strong cash‑generating assets, yet the 2025 earnings miss and guidance for 2026 EPS of €1.01‑€1.03 indicate earnings pressure ahead. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged (debt‑to‑equity >100%) which tempers the upside, but the company’s high operating margins and sustainable dividend provide a cushion for longer‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price at technical support level
- RSI indicating extreme oversold conditions
- Potential short‑term bounce from buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong rental income and rent growth
- Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
- Valuation gap relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend and cash flow generation
- Exposure to growth markets in Central and Eastern Europe
- High leverage requiring deleveraging over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin111.24%
P/E Ratio6.2
ROE13.68%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity109.74
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow€382.7M
Free Cash Flow€222.1M
Industry P/E32.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI1.9
Support€15.78
Resistance€19.27
MA 20€18.93
MA 50€18.89
MA 200€18.29
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.93%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility54.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.